Week 9 Dossier
You’re walking the winding brick path by the river, needing to clear your head of the chaos back at the agency. As you stare out at the yellow glow of the street lamps reflecting off the pitch-black water, your phone vibrates. “Can you meet? Harbor Hotel. Rm 507. 30 minutes.” There is never a time for rest at this point in the season. You quickly dart through the side streets and alleys to make sure you aren’t being tailed - can’t afford to blow the cover of your best informant. You take one last look down the hall before you knock on the door, ‘507’ displayed in bold brass. “It’s me,” you mumble. The door swings open and you walk over to the table covered with glossy photos and stapled documents. “The league has certainly been busy with all of these recent trades. A lot of panic with injuries. But that’s not why you interrupted my late-night stroll, is it?” The informant smiles and shakes his head. Opening up his jacket, the informant pulls out a pen and begins to unscrew the barrel. Tucked inside, the informant pulls out a tiny scroll of paper and hands it to you. You read the four names quickly before you pocket the paper. “This can be pretty massive, are you sure about this?” The informant replies “It’s reliable. Those assets can turn the tide.” You twist the doorknob to leave and say “I’ll stay in touch.”
Week 8 Dossier
In our line of work, missions are not accomplished through luck. Though there are a multitude of variables that cannot be accounted for and circumstances that are impossible to foresee, victory comes to those who have prepared for it. Part of this planning includes an honest assessment of your chances. “What is your team’s record, where is your team in the standings, and how does it stack up with other teams in terms of points scored?” are all necessary in order to establish a baseline. But beyond these preliminary questions is an inventory of your arsenal: “Do you have a strong QB duo and a serviceable backup in your superflex league?” “Can your WR corp keep up with the best in your league?” “Do your RBs have any consistency or upside?” “Is your TE serviceable?” “How many injuries can you sustain to each position before you are out of the race?” And lastly “Do you have assets that can be liquidated to help strengthen your position?” At this Agency, we train our agents to work toward outcomes that can be all but assured. This involves not only overwhelming your competition with your resources but perhaps the most important factor is timing.
Week 7 Dossier
Operating as a field agent demands a calculated focus. This will often require a cold and detached inclination that is ready to make difficult decisions and necessary sacrifices for the good of your team. With half of the regular season complete, there are assets that are still retaining trade interest because of their dynasty value or volatile production, but overall they are jeopardizing your mission success with their lack of consistent/up-side production. Prove your resolve and make the difficult decisions before your operation is compromised.
Week 6 Dossier
The reports of those who have been wounded in the line of duty continue to mount every week. Soon, it will become apparent that the most capable agents are those with the depth and the draft capital to survive the unforgiving season. But perhaps the highest level of skill is found in operators who know when to risk acquiring an asset before the competition does. This can often be achieved by flipping an underperforming asset that carries dynasty value for an older, highly productive veteran. There will be many champions crowned at the end of this year who did not hesitate in forgoing youth and were willing to pay a little more than the competition for these league-winning assets. Read the following (and previous) dossier carefully for the full report on these trade targets.
Week 5 Dossier
We are 1/3 of the way through the fantasy regular season. Catch your breath and compose yourself. Newer field agents will look upon their fantasy rosters drunk with power, drowning in dismay, or abandoned to oblivion. The top operators on the other hand are keen to observe that a key shift for the remainder of the season is taking place. Without having to be instructed, they understand that this is the time to move off of the risky assets that have overperformed for the established assets that have so far underperformed and to hold onto valuable draft capital so that they can buy the few, surviving difference-makers later in the season.
Week 4 Dossier
It is only natural that as highly-trained professionals, our agents will feel the urge to exercise their newfound abilities and test themselves against other combatants. As strong as this inclination is, it is essential to repress this outward course of action. Remember that our battle isn’t waged through superficial displays of strength but beneath the surface through meticulous planning, the subtle allocation of resources, the hoarding of intel, and remaining patient for the perfect opportunity to strike. Suffice it to say, that the agents who survive the longest do not reveal themselves by investing multiple high-priced assets (like 1st round picks) so early into the season. Dig in - we have a long season ahead.
Worp Isn’t Predictive, Or Is It?
We all know WoRP gives you past results, but if you just used WoRP as your rankings, how well would it work? Can WoRP predict the outcomes of individual players?
Week 3 Dossier
Each week is another opportunity to gather critical intel, stay ahead of the opposition, and accumulate valuable resources. It will be difficult for untrained managers to remain disciplined in the face of a losing record and refrain from employing drastic counter-measures when they should remain resolved and undeterred. When in doubt, hold onto your draft capital until further instruction.
Week 2 Dossier
Being comfortable with being uncomfortable is one of the major traits we ingrain in all of our agents. The injury report is a cruel reminder of how brutal this game is and highlights the importance of stockpiling draft picks and solid depth pieces to endure the 17-week season. Gather yourselves and prepare for week 3.
Week 1 Dossier
Welcome back. We thought you were dead. I trust that your time away was used wisely and wasn’t wasted away on a beach drinking endless Mai Tai’s. The season has officially begun, so we don’t have much time. You will immediately be reinstated into Active Service. Report to Field Surveillance to begin your briefing.
Positional Volatility
Analytics and projections are pivotal, but having backup plans and contingencies can be equally paramount. What will you do if your starting QB gets hurt? What will happen to your playoff hopes if your stud RB holds out? Will you be able to overcome the devastation you wrought by drafting a rookie TE in the 9th round? The first step in being prepared for these scenarios is to ground both our research and strategy in historical data. The past cannot predict the future any more than data or statistics can. But what history can do is train us for the unforeseen. History is not kind to those who are oblivious to it.
Underdog Drafts
The Allied evacuation of Dunkirk during WWII, King Leonidas’ Spartans at the Hot Gates, and the army of Rohan at the Battle of Helm’s Deep… these moments in history are a lazy Sunday afternoon compared to the odds faced in Underdog tournaments. In a Best Ball Mania IV contest that features 677,376 entrants on the battlefield, the only chance for survival is the most rigorous commitment to a tempered strategy.
Underdog Drafts
It’s after midnight on a warm August night when you put on your sleep cap and you’re ready to start counting sheep. But before it fades to black your peace is spoiled by a rude messenger. It’s an urgent push notification from Underdog saying “You’re on the clock!.” You have 10 hours to make your selection, but since you want to sleep-in until noon it’s now or never. Justin Fields has fallen five spots past his ADP and you already have DJ Moore rostered at WR. Easy Peasy Lemon Squeezy.