Week 7 Dossier
Cloak & Dagger
Assignment
Operating as a field agent demands a calculated focus. This will often require a cold and detached inclination that is ready to make difficult decisions and necessary sacrifices for the good of your team. With half of the regular season complete, there are assets that are still retaining trade interest because of their dynasty value or volatile production, but overall they are jeopardizing your mission success with their lack of consistent/up-side production. Prove your resolve and make the difficult decisions before your operation is compromised.Usage Activity
Please examine carefully the following usage activity reports we have gathered on players from week 7:
Jaguars vs. Saints - Travis Etienne has been elevated to a high-priority asset to acquire following his performance against the Saints - 14 carries for 53 yards, 2 TDs & 3/5 for 24 yards receiving on an 88% snap share. Etienne is 5th amongst RBs in fantasy points/game (19.7 PPR), 1st in snap share (80%), 2nd in routes run (178), and 3rd in total TDs (7). He is 6th at RB in WoRP/G in Lineup (0.154) & Best Ball leagues (0.135) (12 teams, start 10, 25-man rosters, PPR). Christian Kirk is another player who has slowly sparked the trade interest of the Agency after his 6/6 for 90 receiving yards & 1 TD performance on an 80% snap share in New Orleans. As a player who has lined up in the slot at 71.4% of his snaps, Kirk is often going up against less formidable nickel corners and capitalizing.
Since returning in week 4, Alvin Kamara has been 7th in the league in rushing yards (193) on 51 carries & has led all RBs in targets (31), receptions (28), and receiving yards (141). Despite being less efficient than years past and the offense being wrought with issues, the usage Kamara has received is hard to ignore - 17 carries for 62 yards rushing, 12/15 for 91 yards receiving on 73% of the snaps.
Browns vs. Colts - Jerome Ford rushed for 74 yards on 11 attempts and scored a TD. This would appear to be a solid outing for the RB if it wasn’t for the fact that 69 of his 74 carries came on one play on the first drive of the game. Ford is a fine FLEX option, but given the scarcity of the RB market, he operates more as an RB2. He will be missed as he recovers from injury, giving Kareem Hunt an opportunity to serve as the lead back. Hunt may only be 75% of the running back that Ford is, but considering how imposing the Cleveland defense is, Hunt may not need to be much more in order to be productive.
Much has been said of Gardner Minshew being the preferred passing option for Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs for fantasy purposes compared to Anthony Richardson. If we focus on weeks 1 & 4 for Richardson, in which he played 100% of the snaps at QB, and weeks 3, 6, & 7 for Minshew: Pittman averages 6.5 targets, 4.5 receptions, 56 yards, 0.5 TDs with Richardson & 10 targets, 6.67 receptions, 89.67 yards, 0.33 TDs with Minshew. Downs averages 4 targets, 2.5 receptions, 32 yards, and 0 TDs with Richardson & 8.33 targets, 6 receptions, 67.67 yards, and 0.67 TDs with Minshew. It would appear that these claims are far from unfounded considering both Indianapolis receivers have been top 20 in targets, receptions, and yards in the weeks Gardner has started, and overall carry covert value.
Commanders vs. Giants - It is quite curious to see Chris Rodriguez receive only 1 less carry than lead back Brian Robinson and many of the attempts were on 1st and 2nd down throughout the game, but expectations must be tempered considering Rodriguez only saw 13% of the snaps.
When healthy, Darren Waller is one of the best TEs in the league - 242 routes run (4th), 48 targets (4th), 35 catches (4th), 379 receiving yards (2nd), 393 air yards (3rd), 11.3 PPR pts/g (5th). Waller is by far the best and only receiving option worth rostering from the Giants.
Cardinals vs. Seahawks - Seattle showcased their pair of rookie WRs Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Jake Bobo in their win over Arizona: JSN - 4/7, 63 yards, 1 TD, 63% snaps / Bobo - 4/5, 61 yards, 1 TD, 75% snaps. If only Geno Smith was performing at the same level he was last year - 2022, wks 1-7: 1,712 yards passing, 11 TDs, 3 Ints / 2023, wks 1-7: 1,391 yards passing, 7 TDs, 4 Ints.
Trade for Marquise Brown or Michael Wilson before Kyler Murray returns.
Chargers vs. Chiefs - How does Travis Kelce’s start to the 2023 season compare to weeks 1-7 of the previous 3 seasons? 2020: 40/54, 501 yds, 5 TDs - 2021: 45/64, 533 yds, 4 TDs - 2022: 47/59, 553 yds, 7 TDs - 2023: 48/59, 525 yds, 4 TDs. Considering that Kelce has played 1 less contest in 2023 compared to the other seasons, he is having as good a season so far as he ever has in his career.
In weeks 4, 6, & 7, following Mike Williams's season-ending injury, Joshua Palmer is 12/22 for 270 yards compared to Keenan Allen’s 14/23 for 172 yards & 2 TDs. Joshua Palmer in seasons past may have been the most overrated WR, but he is currently producing as a FLEX WR and is under no threat from Quentin Johnston, who is MIA and presumed a lost cause. Agency Bulletin
The following assets of interest are in various considerations for your Rest-Of-Season Mission. Elite assets will not be included in this report given their formidable prices. The WoRP values are based upon 12 team leagues, start 10, 25-player rosters, PPR, Lineup, and Best Ball. Following the TE Interests intel from the Week 6 Dossier, we will focus on the TE position for this week’s bulletin. Do not engage in a trade until the following intel & parameters have been carefully reviewed:
The South Harmon Agency - Security Clearance will dictate access to this agency’s intel, but South Harmon operations are conducted on a daily basis with the objective of disrupting the fantasy space. Enroll in their academy as a recruit on Discord to gain access to their resources and train to become a top-tier fantasy operator. https://www.patreon.com/SouthHarmon
WoRP - Scoring settings & team needs will dictate which assets to pursue. WoRP is a valuable resource in not only establishing priority targets but also secondary and backup options if necessary. This resource can only be accessed through: https://www.southharmonff.com/worp
Managers to Target - Begin negotiations with managers who are on the opposite side of the standings. If your roster is rebuilding, prioritize trading with teams in the middle who are desperate to contend & whose picks have higher upside. Managers at the bottom of the standings will become more eager to trade away their players to acquire picks as the season progresses. If your roster is in the middle, negotiate with other middling teams - if you are unable to acquire players to contend, then adapt & pursue the other direction with acquiring picks.
Scouting Weeks 12-17 - Prioritize the players with the best matchups during the most critical stage of the season.
FantasyCalc/KeepTradeCut - Where an asset ranks in the field ultimately determines its value. Dynasty Rankings and The Trade Database (which lists the most recent acquisitions of the asset of interest) are invaluable resources in leveraging suitable deals.
The Weekly Dossier - This classified document carefully lays out weekly reports and directives based on intelligence compiled from the most advanced agencies in the field (NFL, NextGenStats, ESPN, PFF, FantasyPros, FantasyLife, PlayerProfiler, Underdog).TE
Evan Engram is our highest priority TE to acquire. He is 2nd amongst TEs in targets & receptions, 3rd in routes run, and leads the league with 233 yards after the catch. He is 7th at the position in WoRP/G in Lineup leagues (0.068) and 9th in Best Ball formats (0.041). Evan Engram has been one of the most consistent TEs in the league, having only one week outside the top 10 this season in terms of fantasy production (wk 5 vs. Buf). Ranked as the TE10 on KTC & the TE14 on FantasyCalc, Engram can typically be acquired for less than a 1st-round pick. 
Dalton Schultz is the 8th TE in WoRP/G in Lineup (0.061) & 5th in Best Ball (0.053). Has 7 red zone targets in 6 games this season. The rapport between Schultz and C.J. Stroud has been strong in their last three contests. Ranked as the TE 16 on KTC & the TE13 on FantasyCalc, Schultz can be had for a 2nd-round pick.
Jonnu Smith is the 5th TE in WoRP/G in Lineup (0.078) & 11th in Best Ball (0.038). He is 3rd amongst TEs in yards per route run (1.87) and plays for a Falcons team that utilizes the TE position more than any other in the league. Ranked as the TE24 on KTC & the TE20 on FantasyCalc, Jonnu can be acquired for less than a 2nd-round pick.Waiver Targets
Spymaster Vanek will provide the latest intel through his America’s Game report. In terms of FAAB bidding, review your league’s previous waiver behavior to navigate the wire best. The waiver wire will become more bare as the season continues, especially in best ball formats.Jake Bobo - 28% rostership, spend up to 5% FAAB (ideal for Best Ball rosters)Chris Rodriguez - 46% rostership, 3% FAAB (likely to fill Brian Robinson’s role if he were to ever get injured)Royce Freeman - 46% rostership, 0% FAAB (close to splitting snaps and touches with Darrell Henderson)
