WK 6 - Top 2024 Tight Ends
The Silence of the Tight Ends
All good things to those who wait.
Hannibal Lecter - The Silence of the Lambs
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Tough Love
“Babe! I just got a raise! Aren’t you proud of me?” my wife asks.
“That’s nice babe, but Nico Collins is on IR and I don’t know how long my teams can hold on without Tyreek Hill producing,” I reply.
“Babe, don’t worry. Everyone loves ya and you're doing an amazing job at work! You should be proud!” she responds.
“The only thing I'm proud of is drafting Jake Ferguson, who is single-handedly keeping my team afloat!” I say looking down in shame.
“Oh babe, everything is going to be ok,” she says as she stirs my morning Metamucil.
I do not deserve this woman, making the sting of my failures all the more unbearable. I want to be great, but damn, it's a lot of work. But what can I do about it? What would my dad do?
“You need to stop crying and work harder!” his voice echoes in my head. “Put down the Slim Jim, that’s your fourth one already! Wake up at 4 am like Hugh Jackman and start training like the Wolverine! Dig deeper into your spreadsheets and write something worth a damn! Perhaps when you have a 6-pack, your wife and others will respect you.”
“But Dad,” I reply. “If I do all this work, I won’t get much quality time with my wife and friends.”
“Overrated!” he retorts. “Trust me, son, if you work yourself to death, hardly see your loved ones, and let her buy whatever she wants at Costco, that’s the only way you’re going to turn your fantasy fortunes and marriage around.”
“Thanks, Dad.”
TE Bona Fides
The Tight End position is unlike any other asset operating in the field given the extreme difficulty in identifying the top prospects outside of the elite. With our rigorous and proven standards, only the cream of the crop makes it through this Agency’s TE Camp.
Baseline
PPG (PPR): Courtesy of FantasyPros
1. George Kittle - 17.3 PPG
2. Brock Bowers - 13.8 PPG
3. Cole Kmet - 12.2 PPG
3. Trey McBride - 12.2 PPG
5. Dallas Goedert - 10.8 PPG
6. Tucker Kraft - 9.9 PPG
6. Evan Engram - 9.9 PPG
Strong Indicators
Targets Share: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Trey McBride - 25.7%
2. Evan Engram - 24.6%
3. Brock Bowers - 22.2%
4. George Kittle - 21.9%
5. Dalton Kincaid - 18.9%
6. Travis Kelce - 18.8%
Yards Per Team Pass Attempt: Courtesy of PlayerProfiler
1. Dallas Goedert - 1.92 yds
2. Evan Engram - 1.88 yds
3. Trey McBride - 1.83 yds
3. George Kittle - 1.83 yds
5. Brock Bowers - 1.81 yds
6. Cole Kmet - 1.45 yds
Red Zone Targets: Courtesy of FantasyPros
1. George Kittle - 11 Tgts
2. Hunter Henry - 6 Tgts
2. Isaiah Likely - 6 Tgts
2. Colby Parkinson - 6 Tgts
2. Cade Otton - 6 Tgts
Receiving Snaps Per Game (running a receiving route): Courtesy of PFF
1. Tyler Conklin - 34.83
2. Dalton Schultz - 33.17
3. Travis Kelce - 32.2
3. Jake Ferguson - 32.2
5. Cade Otton - 32
6. Noah Fant - 31.83
Fair Indicators
Air Yards %: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Travis Kelce - 27.8%
2. Trey McBride - 23.4%
3. Brock Bowers - 21.8%
4. Zach Ertz - 20%
5. Dalton Kincaid - 18%
6. George Kittle - 17.5%
Yards Per Route Run: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Dallas Goedert - 2.51 yds
2. Brock Bowers - 2.37 yds
3. Evan Engram - 2.28 yds
4. Will Dissly - 2.27 yds
5. Cole Kmet - 2.26 yds
6. Foster Moreau - 2.15 yds
Targets Per Route Run: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Evan Engram - 0.3 tgts
2. Brock Bowers - 0.29 tgts
2. Will Dissly - 0.29 tgts
4. Trey McBride - 0.28 tgts
5. Jonnu Smith - 0.27 tgts
6. George Kittle - 0.25 tgts
Faint Indicators
Average Depth of Target: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Mark Andrews - 10.7 yds
1. Brenton Strange - 10.7 yds
3. Foster Moreau - 9.9 yds
4. Isaiah Likely - 9.7 yds
4. Taysom Hill - 9.7 yds
6. Zach Ertz - 8.6 yds
Pass Blocking % (Lowest %): Courtesy of PFF
1. Dallas Goedert - 0.7%
2. Mike Gesicki - 1.6%
3. Trey McBride - 1.9%
4. Jake Ferguson - 3.4%
5. Evan Engram - 3.6%
5. Isaiah Likely - 3.6%
Yards After The Catch Per Reception: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Tucker Kraft - 10.78 YAC
2. Sam LaPorta - 10.08 YAC
3. Dalton Kincaid - 7.57 YAC
4. Will Dissly - 7.23 YAC
5. Dallas Goedert - 6.96 YAC
6. David Njoku - 6.9 YAC
Considerations from Underdog
TE Team Usage (Expected Fantasy Points) (Wks 3-6): Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog
1. Chiefs (Travis Kelce) - 13.1 pts
2. Rams (Colby Parkinson) - 12.4 pts
3. Eagles (Dallas Goedert) - 11.7 pts
4. Jaguars (Engram & Strange) - 11.6 pts
5. Cowboys (Jake Ferguson) - 11.5 pts
6. Jets (Tyler Conklin) - 11.2 pts
HPPR (Production) Rank: Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog
1. George Kittle - 1st
2. Dallas Goedert - 2nd
3. Evan Engram - 3rd
4. Cole Kmet - 4th
5. Tucker Kraft - 5th
6. Brock Bowers - 6th
EXP (Expectation) Rank: Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog
1. George Kittle - 1st
2. Dallas Goedert - 2nd
3. Colby Parkinson - 3rd
4. Evan Engram - 4th
5. Trey McBride - 5th
6. Travis Kelce - 6th
Results
Overall:
1. George Kittle - 51 pts
2. Brock Bowers - 50 pts
3. Trey McBride - 48 pts
3. Dallas Goedert - 48 pts
5. Evan Engram - 47 pts
6. Travis Kelce - 46 pts
Works Cited
FantasyPros
PFF
Fantasy Points Data
PlayerProfiler
NFL Week 6 Recap - Fantasy Usage Model by Hayden Winks
https://underdognetwork.com/football/analysis/nfl-week-6-recap-fantasy-usage-model-2024
The Dossier
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