WK 10 - Top 2024 WRs

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WR Bona Fides 

Dynasty continues to be a Wide Receiver-driven market. If QBs are the foundation of any well-constructed team, the pillars of your roster are the WR position. Carefully review the following receivers vetted by our WR Candidate process (sample = min. 10 targets).

Baseline

PPG (PPR): Courtesy of FantasyPros

1.  Ja’Marr Chase - 22.5 PPG

2.  Nico Collins - 21.3 PPG

3.  Chris Godwin - 19.7 PPG

4.  Justin Jefferson - 18.6 PPG

5.  Cooper Kupp - 18.4 PPG

6.  CeeDee Lamb - 17.4 PPG

6.  Malik Nabers - 17.4 PPG

8.  Amon-Ra St. Brown - 17 PPG

9.  A.J. Brown - 16.9 PPG

10.  Garrett Wilson - 16.6 PPG

11.  Rashee Rice - 16.2 PPG

11.  Tee Higgins - 16.2 PPG

Strong Indicators

Target Share %: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data

1.  Malik Nabers - 33.8%

2.  Justin Jefferson - 29.7%

3.  A.J. Brown - 28.6%

4.  Cooper Kupp - 28%

5.  Garrett Wilson - 27.6%

6.  Amon-Ra St. Brown - 26.9%

7.  Tee Higgins - 26.7%

8.  Chris Godwin - 26.1%

9.  Josh Downs - 25.9%

9.  George Pickens - 25.9%

11.  Davante Adams - 25.3%

12.  CeeDee Lamb - 25.1%

Targets Per Route Run: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data 

1.  Rashee Rice - 0.35

2.  Malik Nabers - 0.33

2.  Josh Downs - 0.33

4.  Cooper Kupp - 0.32

4.  Puka Nacua - 0.32

6.  Dontayvion Wicks - 0.31

7.  Adonai Mitchell - 0.3

8.  Amon-Ra St. Brown - 0.29

8.  CeeDee Lamb - 0.29

10.  Justin Jefferson - 0.28

10.  Garrett Wilson - 0.28

10.  Chris Godwin - 0.28

10.  Nico Collins - 0.28

Fair Indicators

Contested Catches: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data 

1.  Drake London - 11

2.  CeeDee Lamb - 9

2.  Garrett Wilson - 9

2.  Terry McLaurin - 9

5.  Allen Lazard - 8

6.  Malik Nabers - 7

6.  Chris Godwin - 7

6.  Romeo Doubs - 7

6.  Michael Wilson - 7

10.  Justin Jefferson - 6

10.  Tee Higgins - 6

10.  George Pickens - 6

10.  Davante Adams - 6

10.  Jauan Jennings - 6

10.  Darnell Mooney - 6

10.  DJ Moore - 6

10.  Darius Slayton - 6

10.  Michael Pittman - 6

Air Yards Share: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data

1.  Malik Nabers - 49.5%

1.  Calvin Ridley - 49.5%

3.  A.J. Brown - 48.4%

4.  Rashid Shaheed - 48.2%

5.  George Pickens - 44.6%

6.  Terry McLaurin - 43.4%

7.  DK Metcalf - 43%

8.  Nico Collins - 42.6%

9.  Justin Jefferson - 42.4%

10.  Marvin Harrison Jr. - 41.5%

11.  Courtland Sutton - 40.8%

12.  Tee Higgins - 40.4%

Yards Per Route Run: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data

1.  A.J. Brown - 3.79

2.  Nico Collins - 3.63

3.  Rashee Rice - 3.47

4.  Justin Jefferson - 2.99

5.  Jauan Jennings - 2.84

5.  Jayden Reed - 2.84 

7.  George Pickens - 2.74

8.  Terry McLaurin - 2.64

9.  Chris Godwin - 2.62 

10.  Puka Nacua - 2.6 

11.  Ja'Marr Chase - 2.59

12.  Khalil Shakir - 2.54

1st Downs Per Route Run: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data

1.  Rashee Rice - 0.181

2.  Nico Collins - 0.173

3.  A.J. Brown - 0.158

4. Amon-Ra St. Brown - 0.148

5.  Chris Godwin - 0.145

6.  Puka Nacua - 0.135

7.  Justin Jefferson - 0.133

8.  Tee Higgins - 0.132

9.  Jauan Jennings - 0.131

10.  Terry McLaurin - 0.13

11.  Josh Downs - 0.126

12.  Chris Olave - 0.124

Faint Indicator 

Yards After The Catch: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data

1.  JuJu Smith-Schuster - 10 yds

2.  Jameson Williams - 9.3 yds

3.  Keon Coleman - 9.27 yds

4.  Kalif Raymond - 8.71 yds

5.  Quentin Johnston - 8.7 yds

6.  Khalil Shakir - 8.69 yds

7.  Mecole Hardman - 8.6 yds

8.  Deebo Samuel Sr. - 8.41 yds

9.  Jayden Reed - 8.08 yds

10.  Rashee Rice - 8 yds

11.  Ryan Miller - 7.83 yds

12.  Xavier Worthy - 7.75 yds

Avg Depth Of Target: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data

1.  Jermaine Burton - 24.2 yds

2.  Alec Pierce - 22.4 yds

3.  Jalin Hyatt - 20.8 yds

4.  Marquez Valdes-Scantling - 18.8 yds

5.  Rashid Shaheed - 17.7 yds

5.  Simi Fehoko - 17.7 yds

7.  Bo Melton - 17.6 yds

8.  Kayshon Boutte - 17.1 yds

9.  Demarcus Robinson - 16.8 yds

10.  Jameson Williams - 16.3 yds

11.  Calvin Ridley - 16.1 yds

12.  Christian Watson - 15.9 yds

Receiving Yards Per Team Pass Attempt: Courtesy of Player Profiler

1.  A.J. Brown - 3.95 yds

2.  Justin Jefferson - 3.16 yds

3.  Nico Collins - 2.98 yds

4.  Ja'Marr Chase - 2.74 yds

5.  George Pickens - 2.6 yds

6.  Terry McLaurin - 2.47 yds

7.  Chris Godwin - 2.46 yds

8.  Rashee Rice - 2.38 yds

8.  Zay Flowers - 2.38 yds

10.  DeVonta Smith - 2.34 yds

11.  Jauan Jennings - 2.25 yds

12.  Jayden Reed - 2.22 yds

Underdog Considerations

HPPR (Production) Rank: Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog

1. Ja'Marr Chase

2.  Cedric Tillman

3.  CeeDee Lamb

4.  George Pickens

5.  Jaxon Smith-Njigba

6.  Amon-Ra St. Brown

7.  Puka Nacua

8.  Justin Jefferson

9.  Jakobi Meyers

10.  Calvin Ridley

11.  Terry McLaurin

12.  A.J. Brown

EXP (Expectation) Rank: Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog

1.  CeeDee Lamb

2.  Ja'Marr Chase

3.  Puka Nacua

4.  Cedric Tillman

5.  Jauan Jennings

6.  Calvin Ridley

7.  Davante Adams

8.  Malik Nabers

9.  Deebo Samuel Sr.

10.  Cooper Kupp

11.  Drake London

12. Jakobi Meyers

WR Team Usage (Expected Fantasy Points) (Wks 7-10): Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog

1.  Cleveland Browns - 38.3 pts

1.  Los Angeles Rams - 38.3 pts

3.  Dallas Cowboys - 35.4 pts

4.  Denver Broncos - 32.9 pts

5.  New York Jets - 32.3 pts

6.  Cincinnati Bengals - 31.3 pts

7.  Green Bay Packers - 30.7 pts

8.  Chicago Bears - 30.4 pts

9.  Tennessee Titans - 30.1 pts

10.  New York Giants - 29.6 pts

10.  Indianapolis Colts - 29.6 pts

12. San Francisco 49ers - 29.1 pts

Results

Overall Scores:

1.  Justin Jefferson - 49 pts

2.  Ja'Marr Chase - 46 pts

3.  A.J. Brown - 44 pts

4.  CeeDee Lamb - 43 pts

4.  George Pickens - 43 pts

6.  Malik Nabers - 42 pts

7.  Terry McLaurin  - 40 pts

7.  Jauan Jennings  - 40 pts

9.  Chris Godwin - 37 pts

9.  Puka Nacua - 37 pts

9.  Nico Collins - 37 pts

9.  Rashee Rice  - 37 pts

Works Cited

• FantasyPros

• Fantasy Points Data

• PlayerProfiler

• NFL Week 10 Recap - Fantasy Usage Model by Hayden Winks

https://underdognetwork.com/football/analysis/nfl-week-10-recap-fantasy-usage-model

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