WK 10 - Top 2024 WRs
Dynasty continues to be a Wide Receiver-driven market. If QBs are the foundation of any well-constructed team, the pillars of your roster are the WR position. Carefully review the following receivers vetted by our WR Candidate process (sample = min. 10 targets).
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WR Bona Fides
Dynasty continues to be a Wide Receiver-driven market. If QBs are the foundation of any well-constructed team, the pillars of your roster are the WR position. Carefully review the following receivers vetted by our WR Candidate process (sample = min. 10 targets).
Baseline
PPG (PPR): Courtesy of FantasyPros
1. Ja’Marr Chase - 22.5 PPG
2. Nico Collins - 21.3 PPG
3. Chris Godwin - 19.7 PPG
4. Justin Jefferson - 18.6 PPG
5. Cooper Kupp - 18.4 PPG
6. CeeDee Lamb - 17.4 PPG
6. Malik Nabers - 17.4 PPG
8. Amon-Ra St. Brown - 17 PPG
9. A.J. Brown - 16.9 PPG
10. Garrett Wilson - 16.6 PPG
11. Rashee Rice - 16.2 PPG
11. Tee Higgins - 16.2 PPG
Strong Indicators
Target Share %: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Malik Nabers - 33.8%
2. Justin Jefferson - 29.7%
3. A.J. Brown - 28.6%
4. Cooper Kupp - 28%
5. Garrett Wilson - 27.6%
6. Amon-Ra St. Brown - 26.9%
7. Tee Higgins - 26.7%
8. Chris Godwin - 26.1%
9. Josh Downs - 25.9%
9. George Pickens - 25.9%
11. Davante Adams - 25.3%
12. CeeDee Lamb - 25.1%
Targets Per Route Run: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Rashee Rice - 0.35
2. Malik Nabers - 0.33
2. Josh Downs - 0.33
4. Cooper Kupp - 0.32
4. Puka Nacua - 0.32
6. Dontayvion Wicks - 0.31
7. Adonai Mitchell - 0.3
8. Amon-Ra St. Brown - 0.29
8. CeeDee Lamb - 0.29
10. Justin Jefferson - 0.28
10. Garrett Wilson - 0.28
10. Chris Godwin - 0.28
10. Nico Collins - 0.28
Fair Indicators
Contested Catches: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Drake London - 11
2. CeeDee Lamb - 9
2. Garrett Wilson - 9
2. Terry McLaurin - 9
5. Allen Lazard - 8
6. Malik Nabers - 7
6. Chris Godwin - 7
6. Romeo Doubs - 7
6. Michael Wilson - 7
10. Justin Jefferson - 6
10. Tee Higgins - 6
10. George Pickens - 6
10. Davante Adams - 6
10. Jauan Jennings - 6
10. Darnell Mooney - 6
10. DJ Moore - 6
10. Darius Slayton - 6
10. Michael Pittman - 6
Air Yards Share: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Malik Nabers - 49.5%
1. Calvin Ridley - 49.5%
3. A.J. Brown - 48.4%
4. Rashid Shaheed - 48.2%
5. George Pickens - 44.6%
6. Terry McLaurin - 43.4%
7. DK Metcalf - 43%
8. Nico Collins - 42.6%
9. Justin Jefferson - 42.4%
10. Marvin Harrison Jr. - 41.5%
11. Courtland Sutton - 40.8%
12. Tee Higgins - 40.4%
Yards Per Route Run: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. A.J. Brown - 3.79
2. Nico Collins - 3.63
3. Rashee Rice - 3.47
4. Justin Jefferson - 2.99
5. Jauan Jennings - 2.84
5. Jayden Reed - 2.84
7. George Pickens - 2.74
8. Terry McLaurin - 2.64
9. Chris Godwin - 2.62
10. Puka Nacua - 2.6
11. Ja'Marr Chase - 2.59
12. Khalil Shakir - 2.54
1st Downs Per Route Run: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Rashee Rice - 0.181
2. Nico Collins - 0.173
3. A.J. Brown - 0.158
4. Amon-Ra St. Brown - 0.148
5. Chris Godwin - 0.145
6. Puka Nacua - 0.135
7. Justin Jefferson - 0.133
8. Tee Higgins - 0.132
9. Jauan Jennings - 0.131
10. Terry McLaurin - 0.13
11. Josh Downs - 0.126
12. Chris Olave - 0.124
Faint Indicator
Yards After The Catch: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. JuJu Smith-Schuster - 10 yds
2. Jameson Williams - 9.3 yds
3. Keon Coleman - 9.27 yds
4. Kalif Raymond - 8.71 yds
5. Quentin Johnston - 8.7 yds
6. Khalil Shakir - 8.69 yds
7. Mecole Hardman - 8.6 yds
8. Deebo Samuel Sr. - 8.41 yds
9. Jayden Reed - 8.08 yds
10. Rashee Rice - 8 yds
11. Ryan Miller - 7.83 yds
12. Xavier Worthy - 7.75 yds
Avg Depth Of Target: Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data
1. Jermaine Burton - 24.2 yds
2. Alec Pierce - 22.4 yds
3. Jalin Hyatt - 20.8 yds
4. Marquez Valdes-Scantling - 18.8 yds
5. Rashid Shaheed - 17.7 yds
5. Simi Fehoko - 17.7 yds
7. Bo Melton - 17.6 yds
8. Kayshon Boutte - 17.1 yds
9. Demarcus Robinson - 16.8 yds
10. Jameson Williams - 16.3 yds
11. Calvin Ridley - 16.1 yds
12. Christian Watson - 15.9 yds
Receiving Yards Per Team Pass Attempt: Courtesy of Player Profiler
1. A.J. Brown - 3.95 yds
2. Justin Jefferson - 3.16 yds
3. Nico Collins - 2.98 yds
4. Ja'Marr Chase - 2.74 yds
5. George Pickens - 2.6 yds
6. Terry McLaurin - 2.47 yds
7. Chris Godwin - 2.46 yds
8. Rashee Rice - 2.38 yds
8. Zay Flowers - 2.38 yds
10. DeVonta Smith - 2.34 yds
11. Jauan Jennings - 2.25 yds
12. Jayden Reed - 2.22 yds
Underdog Considerations
HPPR (Production) Rank: Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog
1. Ja'Marr Chase
2. Cedric Tillman
3. CeeDee Lamb
4. George Pickens
5. Jaxon Smith-Njigba
6. Amon-Ra St. Brown
7. Puka Nacua
8. Justin Jefferson
9. Jakobi Meyers
10. Calvin Ridley
11. Terry McLaurin
12. A.J. Brown
EXP (Expectation) Rank: Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog
1. CeeDee Lamb
2. Ja'Marr Chase
3. Puka Nacua
4. Cedric Tillman
5. Jauan Jennings
6. Calvin Ridley
7. Davante Adams
8. Malik Nabers
9. Deebo Samuel Sr.
10. Cooper Kupp
11. Drake London
12. Jakobi Meyers
WR Team Usage (Expected Fantasy Points) (Wks 7-10): Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog
1. Cleveland Browns - 38.3 pts
1. Los Angeles Rams - 38.3 pts
3. Dallas Cowboys - 35.4 pts
4. Denver Broncos - 32.9 pts
5. New York Jets - 32.3 pts
6. Cincinnati Bengals - 31.3 pts
7. Green Bay Packers - 30.7 pts
8. Chicago Bears - 30.4 pts
9. Tennessee Titans - 30.1 pts
10. New York Giants - 29.6 pts
10. Indianapolis Colts - 29.6 pts
12. San Francisco 49ers - 29.1 pts
Results
Overall Scores:
1. Justin Jefferson - 49 pts
2. Ja'Marr Chase - 46 pts
3. A.J. Brown - 44 pts
4. CeeDee Lamb - 43 pts
4. George Pickens - 43 pts
6. Malik Nabers - 42 pts
7. Terry McLaurin - 40 pts
7. Jauan Jennings - 40 pts
9. Chris Godwin - 37 pts
9. Puka Nacua - 37 pts
9. Nico Collins - 37 pts
9. Rashee Rice - 37 pts
Works Cited
FantasyPros
Fantasy Points Data
PlayerProfiler
NFL Week 10 Recap - Fantasy Usage Model by Hayden Winks
https://underdognetwork.com/football/analysis/nfl-week-10-recap-fantasy-usage-model
The Dossier
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Week 10 Waiver Targets
The South Harmon Agency has more high-tier operatives gathering intel than ever before. Be sure to keep your channel open and collect data from the various sources as it comes in. In terms of FAAB bidding, review your league’s previous waiver behavior to navigate the wire best. The waiver wire will become more bare as the season continues, especially in best ball formats.
Waiver Targets
The South Harmon Agency has more high-tier operatives gathering intel than ever before. Be sure to keep your channel open and collect data from the various sources as it comes in. In terms of FAAB bidding, review your league’s previous waiver behavior to navigate the wire best. The waiver wire will become more bare as the season continues, especially in best ball formats.
ReDraft (most of these players will be rostered in Dynasty leagues)
Quentin Johnston - 27% rostership, spend 18-20% FAAB (Johnston explodes for 4/5 for 118 yds, 1 TD in his return from an ankle injury. When healthy, Johnston and Ladd McConkey will trade weeks for the most productive Chargers WR, but QJ is a priority add with LA becoming a pass-happy team post-bye.)
Mike Gesicki - 20% rostership, spend 15-18% FAAB (Gesicki had the 2nd-best game by a TE this season, going 5/6 for 100 yds, 2 TDs. It was the best fantasy game of his entire career. Gesicki is a must-own and a must-start anytime Tee Higgins is not playing. He is a volatile play with Tee in the lineup.)
Khalil Herbert - 9% rostership, 10-12% FAAB (Ignored and forgotten like a donation box for Goodwill, the talented RB finds a new home in Cincy. We believe his low utilization has much more to do with the bad scheme of the Bears’ coaching, and much less to do with the ability of Herbert. With Zach Moss out indefinitely with a neck injury, and so few quality RBs available on waivers, Khalil could prove to be a sneaky upside add ahead of the playoffs.)
Trey Benson - 23% rostership, spend 10-12% FAAB (James Conner is the clear workhorse of the Cardinals backfield, but he has also missed 4 games each of the last 2 seasons. If Conner goes down with an injury, it will pave the way for Benson and Emari Demercado to find opportunities. The offense hasn’t clicked yet for Benson, but we expect Arizona to prioritize the run game given Kyler Murray’s ceiling as a passer.)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine - 2% rostership, 3-5% FAAB (Nick has been a top-36 WR the last 3 weeks of the season, including +92% snap share the last two weeks since DHop was traded. Nick’s production could completely change if the Titans return to Levis, so don’t get carried away with the FAAB bid.)
Dynasty
Trey Lance - 32% rostership, 10-12% FAAB in Best Ball (Dak Prescott is on IR while recovering from both a hamstring and hand injury. Cooper Rush takes over as the starter, but with how underwhelming Dak has been we don’t expect Cooper to do much on the piss-poor Cowboys. With his unique rushing upside, we hope to see Trey Lance get an opportunity.)
The Dossier
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