T-Rock 11/29/24 T-Rock 11/29/24

WK 12 - Top 2024 RBs

Dynasty has seasons and cycles where various positions gain prominence and take control of fantasy football. In 2024, the most dominant position by far has been Running Backs. In a league that worships QBs and their WR counterparts, the RB was regarded as a “dead” position that belonged in a museum alongside dinosaurs. But now the position has returned in a big way for this season. Carefully review the following runners vetted by our proven RB Program.

RB Bona Fides

Baseline

PPG (PPR): Courtesy of FantasyPros

1. Saquon Barkley (PHI) - 24.2 PPG

2. Joe Mixon (HOU) - 21.1 PPG

3. Derrick Henry (BAL) - 20 PPG

3. Alvin Kamara (NO) - 20 PPG

5. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) - 18.8 PPG

6. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 18.3 PPG

7. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 17.9 PPG

8. De'Von Achane (MIA) - 17.3 PPG

9. James Cook (BUF) - 16.9 PPG

10. Breece Hall (NYJ) - 16.7 PPG

11. Josh Jacobs (GB) - 16.5 PPG

12. Kyren Williams (LAR) - 16.4 PPG

Strong Indicators

Snap Share %: Courtesy of PlayerProfiler

1. Kyren Williams (LAR) - 88.7%

2. Christian McCaffrey (SF) - 88.4%

3. Jonathan Taylor (IND) - 82%

4. Breece Hall (NYJ) - 77%

5. Saquon Barkley (PHI) - 74.8%

6. Alvin Kamara (NO) - 73.7%

7. Tony Pollard (TEN) - 73.5%

8. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) - 73.1%

9. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 72.5%

10. Isiah Pacheco (KC) - 72%

11. Joe Mixon (HOU) - 67.3%

12. James Conner (ARI) - 65.5%

Target Share (>10%): Courtesy of PlayerProfiler

1. Alvin Kamara (NO) - 22.9%

2. Christian McCaffrey (SF) - 18.8%

3. De'Von Achane (MIA) - 16.3%

3. Isiah Pacheco (KC) - 16.3%

5. Breece Hall (NYJ) - 16.2%

6. Tony Pollard (TEN) - 14.4%

7. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 14.3%

8. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 13.4%

9. Javonte Williams (DEN) - 12.7%

10. Rachaad White (TB) - 12.6%

11. Austin Ekeler (WAS) - 12.5%

12. Saquon Barkley (PHI) - 12.4%

Routes/G (>10): Courtesy of PlayerProfiler

1. Breece Hall (NYJ) - 28.5

2. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 21.9

3. Christian McCaffrey (SF) - 20.3

4. Rachaad White (TB) - 19.7

5. Alvin Kamara (NO) - 18.5

6. Zach Charbonnet (SEA) - 17.9

7. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 17.7

8. Aaron Jones (MIN) - 17.5

9. Jerome Ford (CLE) - 16.9

10. Tony Pollard (TEN) - 15.5

11. De'Von Achane (MIA) - 15.4

12. Jonathan Taylor (IND) - 14.2

Fair Indicators

NFL Dominator (Top 18): Courtesy of PlayerProfiler

1. Joe Mixon (HOU) - 42.4%

2. Saquon Barkley (PHI) - 35.4%

2. Kyren Williams (LAR) - 35.4%

4. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) - 34.4%

5. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) - 34.2%

6. De'Von Achane (MIA) - 31.7%

6. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 31.7%

8. Derrick Henry (BAL) - 31.1%

9. James Cook (BUF) - 27.8%

9. J.K. Dobbins (LAC) - 27.8%

9. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 27.8%

12. Jonathan Taylor (IND) - 27.7%

Evaded Tackles/G: Courtesy of PlayerProfiler

1. James Conner (ARI) - 6.5

2. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 5.7

3. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 5.3

4. Josh Jacobs (GB) - 5.1

5. Joe Mixon (HOU) - 4.9

5. David Montgomery (DET) - 4.9

7. Kyren Williams (LAR) - 4.6

7. Najee Harris (PIT) - 4.6

9. Saquon Barkley (PHI) - 4.5

10. Chase Brown (CIN) - 4.4

11. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) - 4.3

12. Bucky Irving (TB) - 4.2

Breakaway Run Rate: Courtesy of PlayerProfiler

1. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) - 11%

2. Jordan Mason (SF) - 7.9%

3. Derrick Henry (BAL) - 7.7%

4. Bucky Irving (TB) - 7.4%

4. Tank Bigsby (JAC) - 7.4%

6. Saquon Barkley (PHI) - 7.2%

7. Tyler Allgeier (ATL) - 7.1%

8. Tyrone Tracy Jr. (NYG) - 6.9%

9. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) - 6.8%

9. Jonathan Taylor (IND) - 6.8%

11. J.K. Dobbins (LAC) - 6.3%

12. Travis Etienne Jr. (JAC) - 6.1%

Total TDs: Courtesy of Dynasty Berry

1. Derrick Henry (BAL) - 15 TDs

2. Saquon Barkley (PHI) - 12 TDs

3. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) - 11 TDs

3. Joe Mixon (HOU) - 11 TDs

3. James Cook (BUF) - 11 TDs

3. Kyren Williams (LAR) - 11 TDs

3. David Montgomery (DET) - 11 TDs

8. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) - 8 TDs

8. J.K. Dobbins (LAC) - 8 TDs

8. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 8 TDs

8. De'Von Achane (MIA) - 8 TDs

8. Josh Jacobs (GB) - 8 TDs

Red Zone Touches: Courtesy of Player Profiler

1. Kyren Williams (LAR) - 53

2. Saquon Barkley (PHI) - 47

2. Joe Mixon (HOU) - 47

4. Derrick Henry (BAL) - 44

5. Kareem Hunt (KC) - 42

5. Aaron Jones (MIN) - 42

7. David Montgomery (DET) - 41

8. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) - 40

9. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) - 38

9. Najee Harris (PIT) - 38

11. Josh Jacobs (GB) - 36

11. James Conner (ARI) - 36

Faint Indicator

Yards Created/Touch: Courtesy of Player Profiler

1. Justice Hill (BAL) - 5.68 yds

2. Austin Ekeler (WAS) - 5.05 yds

3. Bucky Irving (TB) - 5.03 yds

4. Rachaad White (TB) - 4.91 yds

5. James Conner (ARI) - 4.43 yds

6. Tank Bigsby (JAC) - 4.38 yds

7. De'Von Achane (MIA) - 4.36 yds

8. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 4.3 yds

9. Jerome Ford (CLE) - 4.22 yds

10. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 4.18 yds

11. Tyjae Spears (TEN) - 4.12 yds

12. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) - 4.08 yds

Elite Trait (>90th% - 40, Speed, Burst, or Agility): Courtesy of Player Profiler

1. Saquon Barkley (PHI) - 96th 40, 99th Speed, 97th Burst

2. Breece Hall (NYJ) - 97th 40, 98th Speed, 94th Burst

3. Isiah Pacheco (KC) - 99th 40, 98th Speed

4. J.K. Dobbins (LAC) - 99th 40, 96th Speed

5. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) - 99th 40, 91st Speed

6. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 98th 40, 96th Speed

7. Jonathan Taylor (IND) - 97th 40, 99th Speed

8. Justice Hill (BAL) - 96th 40, 96th Burst

9. Tyrone Tracy Jr. (NYG) - 93rd Burst, 96th Agility

10. Chase Brown (CIN) - 92nd 40, 95th Burst

11. Nick Chubb (CLE) - 90th Speed, 92nd Burst

College Dominator: Courtesy of Player Profiler

1. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 99th

1. Christian McCaffrey (SF) - 99th

3. Aaron Jones (MIN) - 97th

4. Austin Ekeler (WAS) - 96th

5. Derrick Henry (BAL) - 95th

5. Breece Hall (NYJ) - 95th

7. Ray Davis (BUF) - 94th

8. Chase Brown (CIN) - 93rd

8. Jonathan Taylor (IND) - 93rd

10. De'Von Achane (MIA) - 91st

11. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 87th

11. Rachaad White (TB) - 87th

Targets/Route Run (Min. 25 Tgts): Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data

1. Alvin Kamara (NO) - 0.32

2. De'Von Achane (MIA) - 0.27

2. David Montgomery (DET) - 0.27

2. Rico Dowdle (DAL) - 0.27

5. Bucky Irving (TB) - 0.25

5. Javonte Williams (DEN) - 0.25

5. Travis Etienne Jr. (JAC) - 0.25

8. Breece Hall (NYJ) - 0.24

8. Chase Brown (CIN) - 0.24

10. Rachaad White (TB) - 0.23

11. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 0.22

11. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 0.22

Yards After Contact/Attempt (Min. 25 Att.): Courtesy of Fantasy Points Data

1. Tank Bigsby (JAC) - 3.8 yds

2. Justice Hill (BAL) - 3.18 yds

3. Bucky Irving (TB) - 3.13 yds

4. Derrick Henry (BAL) - 3.09 yds

5. Jordan Mason (SF) - 2.98 yds

6. Tony Pollard (TEN) - 2.85 yds

7. Devin Singletary (NYG) - 2.8 yds

8. Jerome Ford (CLE)- 2.75 yds

9. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) - 2.73 yds

10. Josh Jacobs (GB) - 2.7 yds

11. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 2.7 yds

12. James Conner (ARI) - 2.68 yds

Elusive Rating: Courtesy of PFF

1. Bucky Irving (TB) - 149.5

2. Tank Bigsby (JAC) - 132.4

3. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 122.5

4. James Conner (ARI) - 113.3

5. Tyler Allgeier (ATL) - 103.3

6. Josh Jacobs (GB) - 96.3

7. David Montgomery (DET) - 91.2

8. Justice Hill (BAL) - 89.7

8. Jerome Ford (CLE) - 86.7

10. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) - 82.5

11. Jordan Mason (SF) - 81.1

12. Devin Singletary (NYG) - 79.4

Underdog Considerations

HPPR (Production) Rank: Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog

1. Saquon Barkley (PHI)

2. Josh Jacobs (GB)

3. Chase Brown (CIN)

4. Chuba Hubbard (CAR)

5. Joe Mixon (HOU)

6. Bijan Robinson (ATL)

7. De'Von Achane (MIA)

8. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET)

9. Derrick Henry (BAL)

10. Alvin Kamara (NO)

11. Breece Hall (NYJ)

12. David Montgomery (DET)

EXP (Usage) Rank: Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog

1. Chase Brown (CIN)

2. Chuba Hubbard (CAR)

3. Joe Mixon (HOU)

4. Alvin Kamara (NO)

5. Kareem Hunt (KC)

6. Saquon Barkley (PHI)

7. Aaron Jones (MIN)

8. Josh Jacobs (GB)

9. James Cook (BUF)

10. De'Von Achane (MIA)

11. Bijan Robinson (ATL)

12. Najee Harris (PIT)

Neutral Run Rate (1st & 2nd Downs)(Wks 9 -12): Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog

1. Green Bay Packers - 63%

2. New Orleans Saints - 58%

2. New York Giants - 58%

4. Detroit Lions - 57%

4. Philadelphia Eagles - 57%

4. Pittsburgh Steelers - 57%

7. Carolina Panthers - 55%

7. Indianapolis Colts - 55%

9. Tennessee Titans - 53%

10. Baltimore Ravens - 52%

10. Houston Texans - 52%

12. Miami Dolphins - 51%

12. Washington Commanders - 51%

RB Team Usage (Expected Fantasy Points) (Wks 9-12): Courtesy of Hayden Winks, Underdog

1. Pittsburgh Steelers - 26.8 pts

2. Detroit Lions - 26.1 pts

3. Kansas City Chiefs - 25.8 pts

4. Green Bay Packers - 25.1 pts

5. Cincinnati Bengals - 25 pts

6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 24.7 pts

7. Minnesota Vikings - 24.2 pts

8. Miami Dolphins - 23.7 pts

9. Carolina Panthers - 23.1 pts

10. Houston Texans - 23 pts

10. New Orleans Saints - 23 pts

10. Philadelphia Eagles - 23 pts

Results

Overall:

1. Saquon Barkley (PHI) - 59 pts

2. Bijan Robinson (ATL) - 55 pts

3. Alvin Kamara (NO) - 53 pts

4. Joe Mixon (HOU) - 52 pts

5. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) - 50 pts

5. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) - 50 pts

7. De'Von Achane (MIA) - 49 pts

8. Breece Hall (NYJ) - 45 pts

9. Derrick Henry (BAL) - 43 pts

10. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) - 42 pts

10. Josh Jacobs (GB) - 42 pts

10. James Conner (ARI) - 42 pts

Works Cited

FantasyPros
Fantasy Points Data
Dynasty Berry
PFF
PlayerProfiler
NFL Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings - The Blueprint - by Hayden Winks

https://underdognetwork.com/football/fantasy-rankings/nfl-week-13-fantasy-football-rankings-the-blueprint-2024

The Dossier

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T-Rock 11/19/24 T-Rock 11/19/24

Week 12 Waiver Targets

The South Harmon Agency has more high-tier operatives gathering intel than ever before. Be sure to keep your channel open and collect data from the various sources as it comes in. In terms of FAAB bidding, review your league’s previous waiver behavior to navigate the wire best. The waiver wire will become more bare as the season continues, especially in best ball formats.

Waiver Targets

ReDraft (most of these players will be rostered in Dynasty leagues)

Roschon Johnson - 14% rostership, spend 10-12% FAAB (At 42% snap share in their latest contest and a goalline carry that he converted into 6 points, Roschon could provide value in a pinch should Swift suffer a future injury.)
Devaughn Vele - 6% rostership, 1-3% FAAB (Firmly entrenched as the #2 target behind Sutton, Vele has a safe floor on a Broncos offense that continues to outperform expectations with the rise of Bo Nix.)
Will Dissly - 29% rostership, spend 1-3% FAAB (The Chargers offense is clicking on all cylinders as one of the most balanced attacks in the league. If you need a backup TE to play for upcoming bye-weeks or in case of injury, Dissly offers solid upside as one of the top TEs in the league at YPRR, TPRR, and YAC.)
Kendrick Bourne - 3% rostership, spend 0-2% FAAB (It’s difficult to trust which WR in NE is going to have the most productive day between Bourne, Douglas, and Boutte, but Bourne has the most upside given his role as the team’s X-receiver and his prior production from seasons past. He only played on 47% of the snaps in their latest matchup, but should see more opportunities moving forward.)

Dynasty

Tommy DeVito - 20% rostership, 15-18% FAAB in Best Ball (He’s back as the Giants starter, and thank the Lord for it! Last season, DeVito gave fantasy owners 4 top 19 QB weeks, including the QB7 in week 11 of 2023. With an exploitable TB defense being his first matchup as the new signal caller, and Malik Nabers/Tyrone Tracy as his main weapons, DeVito offers more upside than the typical backup QB.)

The Dossier

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